Friday, August 7, 2009
Had the Holocaust not have occurred, how many Jews would be in the world today?
Best Answer - Chosen by Asker
If birth and death rates stayed the same across the years, population growth by the 12 million could be figured with a fairly simple formula much like the one used to figure compound interest.
Birth and death rates aren't constant across countries and through time, however. Disease or disaster can cause death rates to increase for a certain period. A booming economy might mean higher birth rates for a given year.
But aside from the unknown variables, we'll assume that the rate is based on the average planetary growth rate, thus: We'll use 2% growth from the 60s and 1.5% from 1990 onwards.....gets us about 26.9 million from your 12 million figure.
If birth and death rates stayed the same across the years, population growth by the 12 million could be figured with a fairly simple formula much like the one used to figure compound interest.
Birth and death rates aren't constant across countries and through time, however. Disease or disaster can cause death rates to increase for a certain period. A booming economy might mean higher birth rates for a given year.
But aside from the unknown variables, we'll assume that the rate is based on the average planetary growth rate, thus: We'll use 2% growth from the 60s and 1.5% from 1990 onwards.....gets us about 26.9 million from your 12 million figure.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment