Jan. 3, 2010 NFL PREDICTIONS

YTD: 98-92-1 (-28.3 units)
 

IND +8: the public play is to take the Bills knowing that the Colts will be laying down.  But did you see the look on Peyton's face and the other starters last week. Body language said it all, they are pissed. The Bills lost Trent Edwards and backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing injured. Brian Brohm will most likely see some playing time, but neither is going to be effective. The Bills suck, scoring no more than 17 points just two times in the last 13 weeks. Starters or no starters, the Colts will win ATS. Score: Colts 24-Bills 12 (3 units). loser

NE +7.5: Belichick is known for NOT resting his starters. The line suggests otherwise.  This isn't a lay-down team under Belichick, take the points. Score: Patriots 27-Texans 21 (5 units). **WINNER**

SF -7: The niners are clearly the better team, the question is can they cover a TD on the road. With the 3rd stringer QB Keith Null at the controls turning over the ball 12 times in three games, i smell a blow out of epic proportions. The Rams have a banged up RB Jackson and recently injured guards, not to mention the banished Incognito. The niners will not being laying down like Indy or some of the others, while the Rams have an incentive to lay down to get the #1 overall draft pick next year. Score: Forty-niners 24-Rams 10 (3 units). **WINNER**

MIA +3: The Steelers have lost to the likes of Cleveland, KC and Chicago on the road, the Fins are at least better than those teams. People are remembering them as the champions rather than the 3-10 ATS team of 2009. The wrong team is favored. Score: Dolphins 24-Steelers 21 (4 units). loser

NYG/MIN UNDER 47.5: Minnesota in the last 4 weeks, have scored 21 per game (17 or fewer twice). In the last game, the starters will most likely come out in the 4th qtr.  The g-men, meanwhile, are 13-3 UNDER on the road when the total is 45 points. (4 units).loser

SD -3.5: Based on Norv's statement to keep his starters sharp (most likely seeing the fallout from Indy), I'll take the Bolts who are clearly the better team. The deadskins have scored 6 points per game the last two games and have tanked it for the season. Score: Chargers 33-Redskins 12 (5 units). loser

SEA +4.5: While the hawks have stunk it up this season, at home, they have played better (4-3 ATS..well not that much better). While they may not win, they should cover, the Titans only incentive is getting their RB 2,000 yards, running games usually are low scoring, Seattle does does not want to be remembered on highlight reels as the team Chris Johnson got his 2,000 yards. Everybody and his mother's uncle is on the Titans, like they already know what the score will be.  Seahawks 21-Titans 24 (3 units). **WINNER**

KC +13.5: the Brandon Marshall tale will debacle the Broncos in their final game of the season.  Division rivals getting DD points is always enticing. Denver needs the win and will be playing tight, while the Chiefs have nothing to lose and will be playing loose. Take the points. Score: Chiefs 18-Broncos 21 (5 units). **WINNER**

PHI/DAL UNDER 47.5: an intense rivalry spells big D on both sides. (5 units). **WINNER**

CIN +10: the line is reflecting the oddsmaker's expectation that the Bengal will lay down the final game to rest their starters. After listening to Ocho Cinco this week, i'll have to believe Cincy will come to play to win. Score: Bengals 27-Jets 28 (1 unit). loser

OAK +10.5: While the Ravens are the better team, they're in a win-and-in situation.  As long as Jamarcus stays on the bench, the Raiders have a chance to keep it close. They've already beaten the Eagles, Bengals, Steelers and Broncos, and almost knocked off the Chargers twice.  Score: Raiders 14-Ravens 21 (2 units). **WINNER**