WEEK 2: Sept. 20, 2009 NFL Picks:

YTD: 12-4-0
NYJ +5 - i like taking the home dog with the points. Brady is not in top form and he looks banged up, the Pat D is not what it used to be without Bruski and others. The thing that scares me is Belichick's record vs. rookie QBs and the recent trash talking of the Jets, but i'll take the Jets anyway: score: Patriots 28-Jets 24.

STL +10 - The Rams are stinking up the league, so why am i picking them? Mainly because of the spread, AND the public is pounding the Skins. It may be too early to judge, but Washington's offense will not be able cover. Score: Rams 18-Redskins 21

OAK +3 - The Raiders appear on a mission, the D-line has been energized by Seymour and they should've won the Bolt game last week outright. Even tho the public is backing the dog in Oakland, the Raiders are a changed team....at least for now. Score: Raiders 21-Chiefs 14

HOU +7 - The public is pounding the Titans. Vegas is wanting you to lay the points with Tennessee, that tells me that the Texans will cover. Score: Texans 24-Titans 28.

SF -1.5 - The way the Hawks shut out St. Louis and after the niners beat last year's NFC Champs, seems to point to an almost pick-em game, i like the change in attitude in SF, billboards are everywhere in SF showing the "I Want Winners" battlecry. That seems to have changed their play too and the game's not at Qwest field, i'll side with Singletary: Score: 49er 24-Seahawks 18.

CAR +6.5 - Delhomme had too many turnovers last week and he'll be protecting the ball more. The two teams are more even than the public's perception after week 1, I look for a close game, meaning the panthers cover: Score: Panthers 21-Falcons 24

CIN +9.5 - Carson Palmer will keep it close. The Bengals dominated Denver and should've won last week, while the Packers barely won. The teams are not as far apart as the line suggests. Score: Bengals 18-Packers 21.

PHI/NO OVER 46 - With the Saint's high flying offense and poor defense, the total will fly over 50 with or without McNabb.

Leans: (i may play these...gameday decision)
NYG
TB
CHI
MIA
STL/WAS Under

MNF 9/14/09 NFL PICKS

BUF +12 - Pats were notorious for losing ATS during Brady's superbowl run.

OAK +10 - going against double digits home underdog doesn't sound appealing...even if it is the hapless Raiders

WEEK 1 NFL PICKS

Already 2-0-0 going into the weekend:

WEEK 1 Picks:
49ers +6.5: Super Bowl losers suck the following season. Even without a good QB, Singletary will be ‘willing’ the niners to a victory. Niners 24-Cardinals 21.

Texans -4.5 : I like Sanchez too, will he be shining his first NFL start. Texans 31-Jets 21.

Rams +9: upset pick of the week. Bulger should keep within a TD, remember the Seahawks are not THAT good at home openers (4-9-1).

Ravens -13 : Cassel, Thigpen & crew don’t stand a chance vs. Raven defense. I smell a blow out. Baltimore 35-KC 0. Somebody convince me to not take the double digit favorite on opening day.

Packers -3.5: home at Lambeau on opening day. People are liking Cutler, but now for the welcome to the black and blue division.

Cowboys -1: against the worst team in the league (along with Lions & Raiders) the boys should roll over the Bucs. Cowboys 38-Buccaneers 10

WAS +6.5: G-men may be the better team, but with Haynesworth and smash mouth football afoot, expect a close game....meaning the Skins cover.

Jaguars +7.5: Indy is the better team, but I’m looking for the Jags to cover, Colts 21-Jags 18.

Browns +4: the public is pounding the Vikings, smells like a trap game, Browns 21-Vikings 18. I may have a gameday switch or even lay off this one.

Leans for now:
i'll pull the trigger Saturday....the trap games Vikes/Dallas/Bolts seem too easy?? or am i missing something. I also like these UNDERS: CHI/GB un46.5, DET/NO un48.5, NE/BUF un47

OPENING DAY 9/10/09

Looking back now 5 years running, the NFL Thursday Favorite has gone 25-5 ATS. What also is noted is the Superbowl winner is now 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 opening games the following year!!! Favorites were also a winner during opening day last year. Does that mean the Steelers are a lock? Of course not, but all the makings point to it. But people are forgetting that th Titans are an elite team, they'll at least cover. I'll go with TEN +6 and the UNDER 35.

Sept 5, 2009 College Football Picks

Wake Forrest -2.5
Nevada +14.5
Illinois -6.5
Oklahoma -22
Alabama -6.5
CAL -21
LSU -17.5
Georgia +5.5

In vino veritas...

9/3/09 FINAL PRESEASON NFL PICKS

YTD Preseason: 13-7-2

DET +3.5 (4 units)
NYJ/PHI Under 37 (.5 units)
NE +3 (3 units)
BAL +3 (1 unit)
CIN -3.5 (1 unit)
WAS/JAX Under 35 (.5 units)
STL +1 (3 units)
NO -3 (1 unit)
NO/MIA Over 36.5 (.5 units)
CLE/CHI Over 36 (.5 units)
GB +3.5 (1 unit)
GB/TEN Under 36 (.5 units)
SEA -2.5 (3 units)

9/2/09 Free MLB Picks

CWS Buehrle -145 (2 units)
KC Bannister +145 (1 unit)
LAA Kazmir +117 (1 unit)
DET Porcello -145 (1 unit)


parlay: CHC,PHI,COL,STL,LAD

In vino veritas...