WEEK 2: Sept. 20, 2009 NFL Picks:

YTD: 12-4-0
NYJ +5 - i like taking the home dog with the points. Brady is not in top form and he looks banged up, the Pat D is not what it used to be without Bruski and others. The thing that scares me is Belichick's record vs. rookie QBs and the recent trash talking of the Jets, but i'll take the Jets anyway: score: Patriots 28-Jets 24.

STL +10 - The Rams are stinking up the league, so why am i picking them? Mainly because of the spread, AND the public is pounding the Skins. It may be too early to judge, but Washington's offense will not be able cover. Score: Rams 18-Redskins 21

OAK +3 - The Raiders appear on a mission, the D-line has been energized by Seymour and they should've won the Bolt game last week outright. Even tho the public is backing the dog in Oakland, the Raiders are a changed team....at least for now. Score: Raiders 21-Chiefs 14

HOU +7 - The public is pounding the Titans. Vegas is wanting you to lay the points with Tennessee, that tells me that the Texans will cover. Score: Texans 24-Titans 28.

SF -1.5 - The way the Hawks shut out St. Louis and after the niners beat last year's NFC Champs, seems to point to an almost pick-em game, i like the change in attitude in SF, billboards are everywhere in SF showing the "I Want Winners" battlecry. That seems to have changed their play too and the game's not at Qwest field, i'll side with Singletary: Score: 49er 24-Seahawks 18.

CAR +6.5 - Delhomme had too many turnovers last week and he'll be protecting the ball more. The two teams are more even than the public's perception after week 1, I look for a close game, meaning the panthers cover: Score: Panthers 21-Falcons 24

CIN +9.5 - Carson Palmer will keep it close. The Bengals dominated Denver and should've won last week, while the Packers barely won. The teams are not as far apart as the line suggests. Score: Bengals 18-Packers 21.

PHI/NO OVER 46 - With the Saint's high flying offense and poor defense, the total will fly over 50 with or without McNabb.

Leans: (i may play these...gameday decision)
NYG
TB
CHI
MIA
STL/WAS Under