WEEK 14 December 13, 2009 NFL Predictions

*CIN +6.5: Cincy is a very live dog. Everyone knows that the Bengals play to the level of their competition. Another unique stat is that the underdog in Bengal games is 12-0 ATS this year! (lost as favorites 6 times and won as dogs 6 times…. 12-0 ATS for the UNDERDOG in their games). This week, they're pegged as the dog so i'm siding with the trend, the #4 ranked Bengal D should hang with the Vikes. Score: Bengals 27- Vikings 30 (4 units). LOSER

*MIA +3: while the Jags may be surging, their wins were off teams with losing records. The margins of victory have been low. The Fins meanwhile have been knocking off the likes of New England. Score: Dolphins 27-Jaguars 21 (2 units). **WINNER**

GB -3.5: a big rivalry game in the cold. I'll fade the struggling Cutler at Soldier Field and go with the hot hand of Rogers. Score: Green Bay 28-Bears 18 (3 units). **WINNER**

*NO/ATL OVER 50 - the saints are averaging over 30 points per game. Given the poor Falcon D (26th in the league), it's reasonable to expect New Orleans to reach 40. As a home dog, Atlanta should at least score 10 with or without Ryan. (4 units). LOSER

SD +2.5 : the Bolts are the better team and getting points? The Bolts margin of victory lately has been over 2 TDs. The live dog vs. Romo's late season fade. Score: Chargers 24-Cowboys 21 (3 units) **WINNER**

SD/DAL UNDER (1 unit) **WINNER**

*STL +13: the Rams have not been losing with wide margins lately and will most likely be a low scoring game with the runners on both sides the main offense. Score Rams 17-Titans 21 (5 units). LOSER

*DET +14: the bushel of points can't be overlooked here, especially seeing how the Raven offense has been sputtering lately. With Culpepper at the controls, there should be fewer turnovers. Score: Lions 14-Ravens 21 (2 units) LOSER

KC +1: while the Chiefs are among the dregs of the league, I'll fade the Bills with their growing list of injured players, 8 more have been listed as questionable. While the public may be pounding the Bills, I'll take the Home team at Arrowhead. Score Chiefs 21-Bills 18 (2 units). LOSER

*my Leroy's Pro Challenge plays

Leans (i may pull the trigger on these come gameday)
TB +3.5 - Sanchez out
Oak +1.5 - Haynesworth out
PHI +1.5
DEN +7.5
CAR +13 - holding out for +14, will wait and see, may bet the Under if windy weather holds up