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Saturday, October 1, 2011

WEEK 4 NFL PICKS

NFL 13-17-1 (-8u)
WAS -1.5 (1u) - after today's game, you can poke a fork in the Rams, dinner is served at 0-4. St. Louis has yet to score over 21 points in a game.  A team out of the NFC Worst has no business facing NFC East teams….at least not without a buttload of points behind them....I'm just sayin.  Redskins 28-Rams 15. **WINNER**

SF +9 (2.5u) - the extra week on eastcoast time zone should negate any cross country tiredness, Vernon Davis matches up well against the Eagle D, the niner turnovers have been limited (2 vs. Eagle's 7), Gore is off to a slow start this year, however, he's had 2 100yd games in their last 3 meetings, and Alex Smith (while he's no Joe) currently has a 68.9% completion percentage...2nd in the NFC...so far his mistakes have been limited. I'll take the points and may wait til gametime to pull the trigger..hoping for a 9.5 since it's been rising all week. Forty-niners 14-Eagles 21.  **WINNER**

MIA +7 (2u)- as long as the number stays above 7, I'll pull the trigger. Sparano is 6-1 ATS in 2nd straight road game after a loss in the 1st one, they're also 4-2 ATS on the West Coast the last 8 yrs. I wish I had grabbed the opening line of +9, but I'll settle for 7 before it gets down to 6.5.  Dolphins 17-Chargers 21. LOSS

NO -6.5 (1.5u) - I smell a blow-out of epic proportions....the Jags will be lucky to score 20 points, while the Saints will be flying over the total themselves....at leas t28-33 pts.  Saints 43-Jaguars 14. **WINNER**

MIN -1.5 (1u) - The Chiefs are giving up over 36 ppg, the league's worse while the Vikes will be dominating the trenches, I smell another blowout.  Vikings 28-Chiefs 9. LOSS

DET +1 -(1U) - The Lions are on a roll and seem to be the real deal. They're 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 conference games and 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 overall. I'll ride the Lion train til the wheels fall off especially after Dallas' performance the last two weeks. **WINNER**

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