WEEK 6 SUNDAY OCTOBER 16-17, 2011 NFL PICKS

MIA +7.5 (2.5u) - bettin that the Jets will duplicate their play from last year when they got demolished by the Patriots and lost SU as favorites vs. the Fins.  This year they face the Fins again after an emotional defeat by the Pats a week earlier.  The other stat i like is winless teams (0-4 or worse) are a 22-3 ATS coming off a bye. I'll take the points.  Dolphins

CAR +4 (1u) - I'm on the Cam Newton train of 4-0 ATS… I wish I had pulled the trigger early @ +6 but I'll take the +4 or anything above 3. Panthers 21-Falcons 24

WAS -1 (1u) - after Sunday you can poke a fork in the Eagles. I'll the division rival coming off a bye at home. Philly's turnovers of 15 are twice that of the Skins 7 a they dominate time of possession vs. the Eagles. Eagles  21-Redskins 28.

sf  +5 (1u) - everybody and his mother's brother is on the Lions and saying the niners are overvalued.  The Lions meanwhile have had problems getting the lead in the first half, I'm bettin it will be a close game…I'll take the points. Forty-Niners 24 - Lions 27.

BUF +3 (1u)
CLE +5.5 (1u)
MIN +3 (1u)

CLE/OAK OVER 44.5 (.5u)
BUF/NYG OVER 50 (.5u)