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Saturday, December 17, 2011

WEEK 15 NFL PICKS

TB +7 (1u) - I'm goin against the grain on this one....I'm bettin on the home dog trend where the public is over 80% on the road favorite (13-6 ATS this season and 55% since 2002). Also bettin Boys are in a look-ahead mode to divisional battles with Philly/NYG. The Buccs 7 game skid (altho they did cover vs. the Packers during this SU skid) concerns me but considering the Boys are 1-6 ATS during that same time period, i'll bet the dog.  I'll wait til gametime to pull the trigger to see if i can get the hook.  SCORE: Cowboys 24 - Buccaneers 21. Loss - a team playing for something vs a team playing for nothing...lesson learned.

HOU -6.5 (1u) - if the public wasn't enamoured with Jesus out in Denver, they'd be Yatesowing instead of Tebowing. Rookie QB Yates' winning 4th qtr drives are not receiving national media attention, perhaps he needs to start praying to the Poker Gods… I'm not sayin…just sayin.  Houston's #1 defense (w/o Wade Phillips on the sideline) will be putting Cam & the Panthers to the test. SCORE: Panthers 17 - Texans 35

CLE Cle +7.5 (1u) -2 equally bad teams with QB issues, i'll take the points.  With McCoy out, i'll wait til gametime to get the higher number. SCORE: Browns 14 - Cardinals 18
GB -14.5 (2u) - The chiefs will be lucky to score 10 pts, their coach just got fired, they're 31st in pts/gm, 3rd stringer Orton will be at QB with a bum finger and if he falters, 4th stinger Stanzi will get the call. KC's hope for a backdoor cover seems dim....unless, of course McCarthy starts resting starters in preparation for the playoffs...just sayin.... SCORE: Packers 35 - Chiefs 10.

nyg -7.5 (1u) - bettin that the Skins are in a letdown mode after they left everything on the field in the Patriot game last week and coming up losers.  Even tho the gman are divisional foes, I see a let down. SCORE: Redskins 18 - Giants 28

CIN -6.5 (1.5 u)  Kellen Clemens will most likely start (signed only last week). The hapless Rams can't catch a break, they even lost out on the suck for Luck contest. SCORE: Bengals 24 - Rams 9

NE/DEN OVER 45.5

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