YTD: NFL 55-54-2 (-8.5U)
WAS + 10 (1u) - both teams are out of the playoffs with nothing to play for. the double digits should cover a team that may be somewhat deflated after last weeks loss. While the Eagles may win, i'm bettin they don't cover. SCORE: Redskins 18-Eagles 24 LOSS
DET -3.5 (1u) - the Pack has nothing to play for and with Rogers hurting his hand in the first half last week, i'm expecting an early exist. The Lions, meanwhile, are still motivated to get better seeding and they did outgain Green Bay (409-349) on Thanksgiving Day, i'll take the more motivated team. SCORE: Lions 28-Packers 24. LOSS
HOU +3.5 (.5u) - The Titans are fighting for a spot in the postseason, but this does not look like a playoff-caliber squad. They haven’t claimed a victory over a team with a winning record since September. Neither offense is good. The Houston D is solid and the Titans D is passable.The better play may be the UNDER. Although Houston does not need the win, they will have Wade Phillips back on the sidelines this week as well as Andre Johnson. SCORE: Titans 15-Texans 24. **WINNER**
BAL -1.5 (1u) - A Raven loss will mean they'll be on the road in the playoffs where they have been having troubles, so there'll be plenty motivation to win. I'll fade the Bungles just as their fans have and besides they're not as good as their record indicates. SCORE: Ravens 24-Bengals 21. **WINNER**
IND +4 (1u) - while it may be in the best interest to drop some balls on purpose, the Colts have already shown the desire to win, even meaningless games. The suck for luck bias is probably driving the line higher than normal. SCORE: Colts 17-Jaguars 15. LOSS
MIA -1.5 (1u) - the Jets are undervalued coming off an embarrassing game, and the Fins are overvalued after nearly knocking off the Pats. The Fins have played similar teams that the Jets have played and played them better. With Sparano gone, the team seems more motivated too. I'll take the Fins in this spot, not to mention the opportunity to knock one of their rivals out of the playoff picture. SCORE: Jets 18 - Dolphins 21. **WINNER**
SD +2.5 (1u) - Last year, the Bolts choked against the Bengals in a must-win in Week 16 and were thus eliminated from the playoffs. That didn't stop them from beating up on the Broncos in week 17...hmmm, maybe i'll bet the Bolts. **WINNER**
STL +10.5 (1.5u) - the hapless Rams will be facing Niner scrubs in the 4th quarter...ie, that means the backdoor will be wide open. I'm going with the angle where "if over 80% of the bettors are on the Road favorite…always go with the double digit home dog". The Rams D is much better than many people give them credit for. They usually hold on for 3 quarters before they collapse. SCORE: Forty-Niners 18 - Rams 14 **WINNER**
FINISHED REGULAR SEASON 60-57-2 (-6.9 units)
WAS + 10 (1u) - both teams are out of the playoffs with nothing to play for. the double digits should cover a team that may be somewhat deflated after last weeks loss. While the Eagles may win, i'm bettin they don't cover. SCORE: Redskins 18-Eagles 24 LOSS
DET -3.5 (1u) - the Pack has nothing to play for and with Rogers hurting his hand in the first half last week, i'm expecting an early exist. The Lions, meanwhile, are still motivated to get better seeding and they did outgain Green Bay (409-349) on Thanksgiving Day, i'll take the more motivated team. SCORE: Lions 28-Packers 24. LOSS
HOU +3.5 (.5u) - The Titans are fighting for a spot in the postseason, but this does not look like a playoff-caliber squad. They haven’t claimed a victory over a team with a winning record since September. Neither offense is good. The Houston D is solid and the Titans D is passable.The better play may be the UNDER. Although Houston does not need the win, they will have Wade Phillips back on the sidelines this week as well as Andre Johnson. SCORE: Titans 15-Texans 24. **WINNER**
BAL -1.5 (1u) - A Raven loss will mean they'll be on the road in the playoffs where they have been having troubles, so there'll be plenty motivation to win. I'll fade the Bungles just as their fans have and besides they're not as good as their record indicates. SCORE: Ravens 24-Bengals 21. **WINNER**
IND +4 (1u) - while it may be in the best interest to drop some balls on purpose, the Colts have already shown the desire to win, even meaningless games. The suck for luck bias is probably driving the line higher than normal. SCORE: Colts 17-Jaguars 15. LOSS
MIA -1.5 (1u) - the Jets are undervalued coming off an embarrassing game, and the Fins are overvalued after nearly knocking off the Pats. The Fins have played similar teams that the Jets have played and played them better. With Sparano gone, the team seems more motivated too. I'll take the Fins in this spot, not to mention the opportunity to knock one of their rivals out of the playoff picture. SCORE: Jets 18 - Dolphins 21. **WINNER**
SD +2.5 (1u) - Last year, the Bolts choked against the Bengals in a must-win in Week 16 and were thus eliminated from the playoffs. That didn't stop them from beating up on the Broncos in week 17...hmmm, maybe i'll bet the Bolts. **WINNER**
STL +10.5 (1.5u) - the hapless Rams will be facing Niner scrubs in the 4th quarter...ie, that means the backdoor will be wide open. I'm going with the angle where "if over 80% of the bettors are on the Road favorite…always go with the double digit home dog". The Rams D is much better than many people give them credit for. They usually hold on for 3 quarters before they collapse. SCORE: Forty-Niners 18 - Rams 14 **WINNER**
FINISHED REGULAR SEASON 60-57-2 (-6.9 units)
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