WEEK 1 NFL 2010

NE -4.5 (3units) - Brady is healthy and both him and Bellichick are probably tired of seeing the Jets pencilled in as the next superbowl champs, i'll go with the home team, especially if 'bad' Palmer shows up. Cincy is 8-28 since 1992 vs. AFC East Division opponents. Patriots 28-Bengals 21.

CLE +3 (2units) - franchise QB with the points, even though Jake was error prone in previous years, he looked sharp in preseason, i'll take the points. Browns 21- Buccaneers 17

DET +6.5 (2units) - I'll side with Stafford over Mike Martz's offensive schemes, Cutler was sacked 9 times in 4 qtrs this preseason, and they'll be facing a D that looked good in preseason, let's see if it carries into regular season.  Are the Lions for real this year or door mats again, i'll take the points at least in game 1. Lions 24-Bears 21

PIT +2.5 (4units) - the public is pounding the Falcons (70% at this post time).  I'm betting the angle that Big Ben's team mates will be playing extra hard since no one thinks they will win without their starting QB, while the Dirty Birds will be thinking this game's in the bag...an easy win. I love this angle. Steelers 17-Falcons 14.

BUF +3.5 (2units) - the public is pounding the Fins to tune of 80+ per cent, altho they have not won in Buffalo since 2004, Sparano has never won Week 1 games (of the 2 he's been in); and can Miami take the 'lowly' Bill seriously?  hmmm, maybe a let-down game right out of the chute.  Bills 18-Dolphins 14

ARI -3.5 - (3units) people are betting like they already know the score, i'll take the team with somethng to prove....that there is life after Warner.  Cardinals 24-Rams 14

CAR +6.5 (2units) - a new stadium didn't help the Cowboys, was it more pressure to perform in the new living quarters?  I don't know, but a TD is alot to lay for teams that are more evenly matched than people think. Giants 24-Panthers 21

GB -2.5 (1unit) - i usually don't like to side with a big public favorite, but i don't see how the rebuilding Eagles can keep up with the play-off bound Pack.  Packers 38-Eagle 21

DEN +2.5 - (1unit) As long as it stays at the key number, i'm game. While past year's stats may be meaningless, since this is a new year, the Jaguars are 0-10 ATS as home favorites since 2008. Broncos 28-Jaguars 18

IND -2.5 (3units) - I won't lay any money against Peyton, especially at this low number, even if it does creep up to 3. Colts 34-Texans 21.

SF -2.5 (4units) -everybody and his mother's brother is on the niners.  Who am i to argue against destiny÷ Forty-niners 36-Seahawks 6

**GAMEDAY SWITCH** DAL -3.5 (1unit) - after thinking of the disruption on the skin's sidelines and lockroom, i'm going with the team with the better talent on both sides of the line.  Redskins 14-Cowboys 21

NYJ -2.5 (1unit) - Rex knows Flacco as his ex-coach, that and Revis in the defensive backfield spells trouble for the Ravens. Ravens 10-Jets 17.

SD -4.5 (2units) - Matt Cassel is near the bottom in league QBs, nothing has changed since last year. The Bolts rolled over the Chiefs last year, and even tho LT is no longer in San Diego, his replacement (Ryan Mathews) seems to be a major improvement.  I smell a blow out of epic proportions. Chargers 38-Chiefs 3.