WEEK 3 - NFL 2010 PICKS

WEEK 3 - NFL 2010 PICKS
BUF +14 (1unit): as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points, NE is only 1-4 ATS in the last 3 instances (per Statfox). A change in Bill QB may ellitcit some spark in the Bills' offense. Or they could get blown out, i'll take the double digit road dog.

DAL +3 (2units): the point spread seems fishy, as if someone is begging you to bet Houston. It's only week 3 and it seems do or die time for the Boys, especially if they want a home SB. 0-2 teams that made the playoffs the year before are 11-7 against the spread in Week 3 since 2003. Romo should be able to light up the Texan secondary (30th vs. the pass 9 YPA). Score: Cowboys 24-Texans 21

DET +11: (2units) I have a feeling the Lions will be beating the spread all season long, at least until the oddsmakers catch up to them. For now, they're still not getting respect. I don't trust Favre, he's playing like a rusty-never-been-to-training-camp-old man; Rice is still out; Percy Harvin is banged up; and the O-line is stinking up the joint. The only bright spot is Adrian Peterson...I'll take the Lions and the points and wait till gametime to pull the trigger in case the line moves a little higher.

TB +3: (1unit) Neither offense is inspiring and the better bet may be the UNDER. I'll take the points with the home dog vs. the 3rd or the stringer QB. The Buccs seem to have more to play for than the steelers since their wins over Cleveland and Carolina aren't exactly something to be proud of. A win over Pittsburgh will be a statement game.

PIT/TB UNDER 33.5 (2units): Pittsburgh has yet to score a TD from scrimmage in regulation time. Their defense is ferocious especially with a health Palamalu. They shut down to very good RBs in Turner and Johnson. Tampa Bay’s QB Josh Freeman has played two mediocre teams in Cleveland and Carolina. The Bucs “D” has yielded just 10.5 PPG. Both teams are having trouble finding the end zone. UNDER is 4-0 their L4 meetings 4-1 in the Steelers L5 games played in September, and 9-0 in the Bucs L9 overall.

TEN/NYG OVER 42.5 (2units): both are ranked 20+ in rushing defense, so both should be going up and down the field, we'll see.

Phi -3 (1unit): It's confirmed Vick is the starting QB, and whether you agree or not, the added run/pass threat should be enough to overcome the Jags. The final margin will most likely be double digits again. Score: Eagles 33-Jaguars 17

SF -3 (2units): the better team lost last Sunday vs. last year's champion. Without the turn overs, the niners would've been rollin. If they keep them down in KC, the niners should be on track. Score: Forty-Niners 28-Chiefs 17.