EARLY PICKS WEEK 5 NFL

DEN +7 (3units): loser
In the past 3 weeks, Denver upset the Titans, blew out Seattle and outplayed the Colts in a loss (they had more 1st downs 23-18, and more passing yards 472-325). The Ravens may be in a let down mode after their win over Pittsburgh last week, i'm just sayin. Score: Broncos 21-Ravens 24.

KC +9 (1unit): loser
guess what the Chiefs have been hearing all week in the national media, that they're pretenders, the worst 3-0 team in history, how in the world can the CHIEFS of all teams be the only undefeated team left???  Since 2002, Indy is just 1-5 ATS as a favorite of -7 or more coming off a defeat. While the Colts may be the better team, i like the Chiefs in this spot with the points. If it wasn't for Cassel, i'd be betting more. Score: Chiefs 24-Colts 28,

ARI +6.5 (2units): **WINNER**
Lemme see, the Saint wins were by 5, 3, and 2 against a couple of scrub teams, Whisenhunt is pretty tuff at home, i wouldn't be surprised if they won SU. While the Cards maybe a scrub team too, i like them in this spot with the points. Cardinals 21-Saints 24.

PHI +3.5 (4units): **WINNER**
the public is pounding the niners, who are on a tail spin. Yeah they should've won several games SU, The line has been off for the niners all season long. The knee jerk reaction with Vick out & the niners nearly beating Atlanta makes this a good play....i'm just sayin.   Reid has a good ATS record West Coast and likes to be against the public.  My line was Phi +3.5, which makes me think the public perception is driving the line. Score: Eagles 33-Forty Niners 21.

TEN +250 (2units): **WINNER**
the Titan run game will be the key to this game. Some key injuries on Cowboy side, most notably Jason Witten will negatively impact their offense. This one has field goal game written all over it. Tennessee is good on defense (17ppg), not counting assistant coach Chuck Cecil's #1 gesture last week at the officials. The Titans perform better as underdogs (Vince Young is 15-4 ATS when they get 3 or more points, and 6-1 ATS when coming off a loss. And lastly, my faith in Jeff Fisher over Wade Phillips is greater in all games facing each other, i'm just saying. Score: Titans 28-Cowboys 24

BUF -1 (2units): LOSER
i like this game, consider this, the Jaguar just played their superbowl last week vs. the Colts and WON, while the Bills were torn apart by the Jets. The line has steamed from being a +1 underdog to a -1 favorite for the buffalo. I don't trust Gerrard to carry the Jags. A perfect time to pick the lowly Bills at home. I also like the UNDER 38 based on their latest trends. Score: Buffalo 21-Jaguars 17



Other Picks:
TB +6.5 (3units) **WINNER**
HOU -3 (3units) LOSER
OAK +6 (2units) **WINNER**
CLE +3 (2units) LOSER
WAS +2.5 (1unit) **WINNER**








NCAAF
California -7.5 **WINNER**
Nevada -39.5 LOSS
USC +10 **WINNER**
NAVY -4.5 LOSS
Boise St -39 **WINNER**
Temple +3 LOSS
Oregon St +7.5 **WINNER**
Ohio St -21.5 **WINNER**
N Texas +2.5 LOSS
5-4

PARLAY:
FLORIDA STATE +6.5 W
BAYLOR +2.5 L
MICHIGAN STATE +4.5 W

I'm going back to Minny