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Tuesday, October 19, 2010

WEEK 7 NFL PICKS

WEEK 7 NFL PICKS
CLE +13 (1unit): **WINNER**
the score will be close, most likely decided by a FG. The saints are the better team but won't cover...IMHO. Score: Browns 17-Saints 20

ATL -3.5 (3UNITS): **WINNER**
slight advantage for Atlanta. my line as it at -4 with the better defensive HOG index number. Score: Falcons 27-Bengals 16

CIN/ATL OVER 42.5 (1unit) **WINNER**

PIT -3 (2UNITS): loser
Pit D and Big Ben's Offense favors Steelers. What scares me is the number of top cappers on MIA. Score: Steelers 24-Dolphins 12

STL +2.5 (3units): **WINNER**
the wrong team is favored, i'll side with the better D. Score: Rams 17-Buccaneers 14

BAL -13 (2units): loser
outmatched on the D.and Buffalo has tanked it for the season. Score: Bills 9-Ravens 36

SF/CAR UNDER 35.5 (1unit): loser
the win could go to either team, most likely determined by the turnover ratio. The Under seems the play for this game. Score: Forty-niners 21 - Panthers 9

SEA -5.5 (3units): **WINNER**
defense favors seahawks at home, fewer turnovers, few penalty yardage and my line has it at least -8. I like the 12th man vs. a rookie QB Score: Cardinals 17-Seahawks 27

ARI/SEA UNDER 40.5 (1unit): **WINNER**

NE +3 (2units): **WINNER**
shady line, but i'll take Brady and Bellicek. Key injuries for the bolts even tho they play better at home. Score: Patriots 42-Chargers 27

NE/SD OVER 47 (2units): loss
pts will fly over 60.

NYG/DAL OVER (1unit): **WINNER**
too close to call on win, but the total should fly over 44.5 nearing the 60 pt. range too

CHI -3 (3units): loser
The Bears were humiliated last week by the lowly seahawks, while the Skins suffered a tough loss last SNF vs the Colts. The public is pounding the Skins by 80%. Lemme see... the Bear defense is ranked 4 against the pass (PYPA-Statfox) and 5 against the run (3.5yds/carry). i see a Bear victory, Score: Bears 21-Redskins 14

SF -2 (2units): loser
would this be considered a swagger play? 5 losses in a row and then a win last week. I'm hoping so and if Crabtree, Davis, Smith and Gore show up to play, they should easily cover against the hapless Panthers, even if it is an early right coast game. Carolina is last in PPG @10.4 and a measly 6.7 for home games. What scares me is all the top cappers are on CAR. Score: Forty-niners 21-Panthers 9

OAK +9 (4units): **WINNER**
If Jamarcus Russell can beat the Broncos in Denver, i look for the Raiders to get up for this divisional rivalry with their current gun slinger. The defensive HOG index numbers are nearly identical, so the points look good right about now. I might wait to pull the trigger just before game time to see if the line rises to 10. Score: Raiders 18-Broncos 24

9-6 (+3.56units)

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