NFL Free Picks - October 25, 2009

YTD 45-32 (+9.9 units)

SF +3: Crabtree had a great 2 week workout from all reports, Gore will be back, the niners are off a bye, the Texan win/loss record looks like this: W-L-W-L-W with SF next in line. I know that’s a poor trend to follow, but what the hey, who am I to argue with destiny?: Score: 49ers 28-Houston 18 (4 units).

MIN +4: as long as the line’s at 4, I’ll take the Vikes. The OVER may be the play on this one. Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS past 6 pre-bye weeks at home. Try to get + 4.5 but line is falling quickly. Plus 4 is acceptable. The two teams are about even so I’ll take the points with Minny: Vikings 21-Steelers 21 (1 unit)

ATL +4: hmmm, a publicly backed underdog. This almost feels like the last MNF, the overrated home team is favored over an under-rated away team. In my opinion the wrong team is favored. America’s Team is ranked 20th vs run/pass (and that’s vs. lowly Buccs,Panthers & Chiefs).: score: Falcons 33 – Cowboys 24 (2 units)

ATL/ UNDER 47 (1 unit)

MIA +7: While the Saints have already been penciled into the Super Bowl and the public is pounding them to the tune of 99%!!! (at 78% by Friday), the run-happy Fins will be able to run on New Orleans and at least keep it close. The Saints have not seen the Wildcat and the Fins are the only ones that can run it successfully. I’ll take the home dog with the points: score: Dolphins 28 – Saints 24 (5 units).

MIA/NO OVER 47 (1 unit)