WEEK 8 - NOV 1, 2009 NFL Weekly Predictions

You have to be insane to bet the browns, raiders, rams, redskins, bucs, chiefs, and panthers this year, unless you’re getting 20 points or more. Unless the teams they face are flat, the trend should continue the whole year.

CLE +14.5: I smell a blow out of epic proportions. But since the line moved past the key number of 14, I’ll buck the trend of the heavy favorites covering this year. If things haven’t gotten worse for the Brownies, they lost their star linebacker D’Qwell Jackson for the year. I’ll wait till gametime before I pull the trigger on this one, in case it steams higher. Score: Bears 23 – Browns 13 (2 units).

NYG +1: the Eagles lost to the lowly Raiders only two weeks ago and were not that impressive against the Skins last week. 14 of their points were on turnovers and if you takeaway both of DeSean Jacksons long TDs, the eagles had just 138 yards passing and rushing all versus the lowly Skins, I’ll take the g-men at home looking for redemption. Score: Giants 41 – Eagles 20 (4 units)

SF +13.5: I may pull the trigger on the Colts, with Peyton on fire and the average passing defense of SF, the game could be decided by halftime. On the other hand, the alex smith, vern davis and crabtree trio may be able to keep the niners within striking distance. The trio have no stats to plug into any system plays, so they’re the wildcard of the day. Score: Colts 28 – Forty-Niners 18 (1 unit)


MIA +3.5: the Fins have key injuries in their secondary with the loss of Will Allen for the season, they’re now starting 2 rookies at cornerback. With their demoralizing loss to the Saints last week after dominating them in the first half, the Fins may have left everything they had on the field as they face Sanchez and the Jets in the Meadowlands (the first road game for Henne in a hostile environment except for a brief appearance at San Diego in week 3 throwing a pic-six). Still I see the Wildcat dominating keeping Sanchez off the field. Both team are evenly matched, so I’ll take the Fins and points, even after their monumental collapse last week. Because both teams like to run, the UNDER may be the better play: Score: Jets 18 – Dolphins 21 (2 units).

NYJ/MIA Under 40.5 (2 units)

Det -4: battle of the heavy weights, two ugly teams, Offensive Coach Scott Linehan will be able to take advantage of the hapless lambs (he coached the Rams from 2006-2008). If Stafford is back, I’ll lay at least 1 unit on the Lions at Home. If it weren’t for Detroit’s lousy team, I’d be betting at least 4 units against the lambs. The Under may be the play of the day. Score: Lions 18 – Rams 6 (1 units).

DET/Stl UNDER 43.5 (2 units)

DEN +3.5: Again, the wrong team is favored. The public is remembering the vaunted Raven defense of past, but this year they’ve been allowing over 300 yds per game and over 21 points per game. The Broncos, on the other hand are holding opponents to 11 pts per game, I’ll side with Orton the Denver D. Score Broncos 24-Ravens 14 (3 units)

ARI -10.5: The Panthers are threatening to join the dregs of the league (Oak,KC,CLE,STL,DET & TB). Thanks to Delhomme, he’s averaging 3 turnovers/game, the cats didn’t reach 10 pts last week vs the Bills, Warner will be torching Carolina, Score: Cardinals 44-Panthers 9. (5 units)

SD -17.5: Can the Raiders still play with the big boys? Sure they have talent, but with Jamarcus at the helm and the front office taking the team down,..enuff said.. This is more of a play on the hapless Raiders rather than the Bolts at home. Score: Chargers 31 – Raiders 10 (3 units)

NO -10.5: Brees is 20-8 ATS off back-to-back wins, the opening line was -9, i'll side with the public square bet and collect the rectangular money on MNF. Brees will be torching the 19th ranked Falcon passing defense all nite. I like the OVER more, even if it is 54. Score: Saints 40 – Falcons 28 (3 units)

NO/ATL OVER 54.5: (2 units)

Leans – no play
JAX -3 (Titans 14-Jaguars 21)
HOU -3.5 (Texans 21-Bills 16)
MIN +3.5 (Packers 24-Vikings 21)
SEA +9.5 (Seahawks 24-Cowboys 21)