Thanksgiving Day Picks - NFL Predictions: Nov. 26, 2009

YTD: 72-63 (-8.8 units)

NYG -7: the Broncos are on the skids; while i like home dogs, Orton seems banged up and a short week does not bode well for him, even with a home crowd, i'll lay the points. Score: Giants 28-Broncos 18 (2 units).

GB -9: without Stafford, the Packers will roll. The Lions are historically bad on Thanksgiving, going 1-6 ATS as the home team host since 2002, including some DD dogs. Normally, in division games i'd take the double digit dog, but in this case, on a short week with Stafford out and the Pack on fire, the Lions will be embarrassed on national television... once again. Score: Packers 31-Lions 14 (2 units).

Raiders +14 - Raiders are playing better now that they have a game manager, Cowboys barely got by the lowly DeadSkins, 2 TDs, really? What scares me is that the Cowboys may need a statement game after two sluggish starts and they do play better on turkey day. Also the public is pounding the Raiders after beating the sleep walking Bungholes, so i may lay off, but for now, i'm liking Oakland and the points. I already missed the 16.5 points last week and the number seems to be going south. If it hits 13 or 12.5, i'll think about taking the Boys. Score: Raiders 18-Cowboys 28 (3 units).

and if you want to parlay any of the above, add-in ARKANSAS +3.5 from College football on Saturday..... i'm just sayin...