WEEK 12 - NFL PICKS Nov.29, 2009

WAS +9: this may qualify as a 'look-ahead' alert for the Eagles, who have the Giants and Falcons, who they're contending for a wildcard berth with. A divisional game with near double digits is always a safe bet for the underdog (in general of course. Score: Redskins 28, Eagles 24 (2 units)

ARI +2.5: The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 posted as a dog, including 5 as a road dog. The Titans are playing on a short week, I like Warner to cover. Score: Cardinals 31-Titans 21 (4 units). GAMEDAY SCRATCH ***Warner is out

Ind/Hou UNDER 47.5: Texans have gone 7straight to the UNDER with a total of 47.5 or higher and the Colts have a top ranked defense, I like the UNDER (3 units)

SEA/STL UNDER 42.5: With Boller in, look for the lambs to run all day…meaning a low scoring game. In 5 road games, the Hawks have averaged 14 points per game, I like the chances for an Under (2 units).

KC +13.5: The Bolts win but don't cover. KC is 9-1 ATS in their last ten games as a DD dog, and this being a division rival, I'll take the points. Score: Chiefs 24-Chargers 33 (2 units).

LEANS:
MIN -10.5 - mismatch if i ever seen one
MIA -3
CLE +14 - division rivalry, Cincy plays down to competition
CAR +3 - teams going in opposite directions
SEA -3.5
NO -2.5
BAL -1.5 - Pit without Big Ben
JAG +3.4 - the better team getting the points