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ADDED GAMES Dec. 27, 2009 NFL PREDICTIONS

BAL +3: the Steelers' 4-10 ATS record is good enough to look to bet against them. The Ravens are more balanced and should hold on to their wild-card lead. Score: Ravens 28-Steelers 21 (2 units) LOSER

GB +14: the Seahawks are 28th in passing defense going against the Rodgers as the #4 passing rating. Coming off their close loss to the Steelers last week and with Seattle's poor road record this year, i smell a blow out of epic proportions: Score: Packers 33-Seahawks 10 (1 unit). **WINNER**

KC +13.5: the Bengals have not put anybody away all, good or bad, with the exception of Chicago back several months ago. While the Chiefs are bad, i'll take the points. Score: Chiefs 18-Bengals 24 (1 unit) *WINNER**

STL +14.5: divisional rival getting DDs, i'll take the dog.  While the Cards are the better team, they have no reason to keep the pedal to the floor.  Score: Rams 18-Cardinals 28 (.5 units). LOSER

SF -13: Detroit has been losing by double digits on the road all season long. The niners should be in the playoffs if it weren't for close games, sweeping the division winner, should've beat the Colts, Texans and Vikings (playoff contenders). I see them taking out their frustration against the hapless Lions. Score: Forty-niners 30-Lions 14 (1 unit). **WINNER**

DEN +7: Philly doens't need this game. The Eagles are on fire and their fans are penciling them into the superbowl. Reid is known for losing games he should win and vice versa.  I'll go with the dog. Score: Broncos 18-Eagles 21 (1 unit). **WINNER**

BUF +9: The Bills pass defense should shut down the poor passing offense of Atlanta. The Bills on the other hand are dead last against the run. It's too bad Atlanta's run game is not good. I'll take the points. Score: Bills 24-Falcons 27 (.5 units). LOSER

CAR +7: the public is pounding the Giants like they already know the score. Matt Moore is keeping the Panthers competitive. While the G-men may be surging, i'll take the points. Score: Panthers 21-Giants 24(2 units). **WINNER**

Jags +8: no one is believing in the Jags while the Pats have sewn up the division. While New England is the better team, they're not good enough to be laying 8 points in a meaningless game. What scares me is the patriot weather this Sunday. Score: Jaguars 20-Patriots 18 (.5 units). LOSER

MNF DEC. 28. 2009 NFL PREDICTION

MIN -7: the Bears haven't covered since Nov. 1. Their offense and defense is stinking up the league, they're dominated in the trenches on both sides of the ball, and Cutler has already mailed it in. Score: Vikings 27-Bears 14 (4 units). loser

DEC. 27, 2009 NFL PREDICTIONS

WAS +6.5: everyone is remembering how bad the skins played last MNF and forgetting the Boys are still 2-9 ATS in December. I'll fade the public. Redskins 18-Cowboys 21 (4 units). loser

OAK +3: If Frye starts, the Raiders should win. Brady Quinn is done for the year. The Raiders have had more impressive wins without Jamarcus. Score: Raiders 14-Browns 10 (3 units) loser

OAK/CLE UNDER 38: both offenses are averaging less than 14 pts per game and both using scrub QBs, I'll take the under. (4 units) **WINNER**

TB +14: divisional games with DD dogs are very enticing.  The Saints may be the better team, but without the need for a victory, New Orleans should be getting ready for the playoffs.  Score: Buccaneers 21-Saints 33 (4 units). **WINNER**

TB/NO UNDER 49: the bucs are riding 5 straight unders and playing a divisional foe. Despite the Saints prolific offense, I see them easing up the final two games. (5 units) **WINNER**

HOU +3: the Fins do not fare well against quality QBs, the likes of Peyton, Brady, Rivers or Brees.  Shaub falls in the category of quality QB and since the Texans need the game, I'll fade the Fins. Score: Texans 24-Dolphins 21 (3 units) **WINNER**

FRIDAY DEC. 25, 2009 NFL PICKS

TEN -3: the Bolts are the better team but all the emotion will be with the Titans at home. A basically meaningless game for San Diego, the Titans need to win to get into the playoffs. The Public is pounding the Bolts like they already know the score.  The warm weather team playing in the cold with a hostile crowd and already with a ticket to the dance, i'll go with the Titans. Score: Titans 28-Chargers 24 (4 units). LOSER

MNF NFL Football Prediction – December 21, 2009

WAS +3: the wrong team is favored. During the start of the year, the Redskins were averaging 17 pts. or less, but in the last 5 games have jumped to 24 pts. per game. The g-men on the other hand have dropped 7 of the last 8 ATS games. Look for the live dog at home to cover. Score: Redskins 28-Giants 21 (3 units). LOSER

NCAAF BOWL PICKS

Dec. 19 (New Mexico): Wyoming +13, wait for higher number if possible **WINNER**
**Dec. 23: Utah +4 ** **WINNER**

**Dec. 26: Ohio -2** LOSER
Dec. 26 (Meinke Car): Pittsburgh -3 - wait for line to drop further before pulling trigger LOSER altho line did drop to +1, i missed it.
Dec. 30 (Holiday): Nebraska +1 **WINNER**
Dec. 31 (Armed Forces): Air Force +4.5 **WINNER**
Dec. 31 (Sun): Stanford +8.5 **WINNER**
Jan. 1 (Gator): Florida St. +3
Jan. 2 (Papa John's): UConn +4.5
Jan. 4 (Fiesta): Boise St. +7
Jan. 7 (BCS title): Texas +5
i'm just sayin....

Dec. 19-20, 2009 NFL PREDICTIONS

Manhandled last month, the hole may be too big to climb out, but here goes:
86-81 (-27.7 units)

NO -7.5: at home in the dome, the Saints have dominated, beating opponents by 8 or more all season long; score: Saints 35-Cowboys 24 (3 units). LOSER

BAL -11: play against Cutler and his INTs. Bears have tanked it for the season. Score: Ravens 27-Bears 10 (5 units). **WINNER**

CLE +2: 'swagger theory' at work, off their win vs. Steelers last week. Score: Browns 18-Chiefs 12 (2 units). **WINNER**

SF +9: public is backing the Eagles like they already know what the score will be. Niners need the win to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Score: Forty-Niners 27-Eagles 24 (4 units) LOSER

GB +1: talk about shady lines, I'll bite. the Steelers need this game, but that didn't mean much vs. the Browns. I'll go with Rogers' hot hand again vs. the banged up Ward and 'hold-the-ball-too-long Rothlesberger, not to mention Troy-less defense. Score: Packers 28-Steelers 18 (5 units). PUSH (unless you got 1.5 or 2)

HOU -11: the Rams have tanked it for the season. St. Louis' only offense in Jackson is hurt. I smell a blowout of epic proportions. Score: Texans 38-Rams 6 (4 units) LOSER

TB +6.5: the Bucc QB will either throw 3 TDs or 5 INTs, I'll play the TD angle. Score: Buccaneers 21-Seahawks 24 (2 units) **WINNER**

ADDED GAMES DEC. 13, 2009 NFL Predictions

NO -9.5: Home division dog with revenge (injured) playing a team that is feeling the pressure of staying perfect....also a defense that is not keeping anyone out of endzone. The Saints will have no problem moving the ball around against a beat-up Falcons team without Ryan or Turner. Score: Falcons 18- Saints 44 (3 units). LOSER

HOU -6: Seattle has one road win this year (at St. Louis). Otherwise, they've lost their games away from Qwest Field by 13, 17, 21, 11 and 26. I'll side with the squares and collect the rectangular money to the pay window. Score: Texans 28-Seahawks 18 (3 units). **WINNER**

DEN +7.5: People forget that Manning struggles against the 3-4. The team as a whole hasn't been able to demolish those teams. Against 3-4 clubs, the Colts have victories of 2, 1, 4, 21 and 4 points. While Orton in no way compares to Manning, i'll take the dog needing the win over the favorite already locked into the playoff...i'm just sayin. Score: Broncos 27-Colts 33 (4 units). LOSER

NE -13.5: I don't usually like taking this much chalk, but the Patriots will not be taking this game lightly. The Panthers simply do not have the offensive power to keep up, even in the cold of the Northeast. Score: Patriots 33-Panthers 10 (2 units). LOSER

TB +4: Clemens on the road with the public backing him to the tune of 65%/ the line opened at 3, i like the Buccs in this spot at home. Alltho Freeman debacled my pick last week with redzone INTs, i'll go with them this week. Buccaneers 15-NY Jets 10 (2 units) LOSER

OAK +1: cross country trip for a dejected team. How are the skins going to get up for the Raiders crossing to the left coast? HFA for Oakland, both teams going no where, i'll take the home team. Score: Raiders 18-Redskins 15 (1 unit) LOSER

WEEK 14 December 13, 2009 NFL Predictions

*CIN +6.5: Cincy is a very live dog. Everyone knows that the Bengals play to the level of their competition. Another unique stat is that the underdog in Bengal games is 12-0 ATS this year! (lost as favorites 6 times and won as dogs 6 times…. 12-0 ATS for the UNDERDOG in their games). This week, they're pegged as the dog so i'm siding with the trend, the #4 ranked Bengal D should hang with the Vikes. Score: Bengals 27- Vikings 30 (4 units). LOSER

*MIA +3: while the Jags may be surging, their wins were off teams with losing records. The margins of victory have been low. The Fins meanwhile have been knocking off the likes of New England. Score: Dolphins 27-Jaguars 21 (2 units). **WINNER**

GB -3.5: a big rivalry game in the cold. I'll fade the struggling Cutler at Soldier Field and go with the hot hand of Rogers. Score: Green Bay 28-Bears 18 (3 units). **WINNER**

*NO/ATL OVER 50 - the saints are averaging over 30 points per game. Given the poor Falcon D (26th in the league), it's reasonable to expect New Orleans to reach 40. As a home dog, Atlanta should at least score 10 with or without Ryan. (4 units). LOSER

SD +2.5 : the Bolts are the better team and getting points? The Bolts margin of victory lately has been over 2 TDs. The live dog vs. Romo's late season fade. Score: Chargers 24-Cowboys 21 (3 units) **WINNER**

SD/DAL UNDER (1 unit) **WINNER**

*STL +13: the Rams have not been losing with wide margins lately and will most likely be a low scoring game with the runners on both sides the main offense. Score Rams 17-Titans 21 (5 units). LOSER

*DET +14: the bushel of points can't be overlooked here, especially seeing how the Raven offense has been sputtering lately. With Culpepper at the controls, there should be fewer turnovers. Score: Lions 14-Ravens 21 (2 units) LOSER

KC +1: while the Chiefs are among the dregs of the league, I'll fade the Bills with their growing list of injured players, 8 more have been listed as questionable. While the public may be pounding the Bills, I'll take the Home team at Arrowhead. Score Chiefs 21-Bills 18 (2 units). LOSER

*my Leroy's Pro Challenge plays

Leans (i may pull the trigger on these come gameday)
TB +3.5 - Sanchez out
Oak +1.5 - Haynesworth out
PHI +1.5
DEN +7.5
CAR +13 - holding out for +14, will wait and see, may bet the Under if windy weather holds up

THURSDAY NITE FOOTBALL -DEC. 10, 2009

YTD: 81-72 (-14.8 units)

CLE +10: Yes, I know the Browns suck, but Brady Quinn is showing signs of being the QB of the future. The Steelers lost at home to the Raiders and are now laying points on the road? Still with no Troy and maybe Ward? Hmmm, I'll fade the steelers in this spot. Score: Steelers 24-Browns 18 (3 units). **WINNER**

MNF Football Predictions - Dec. 7, 2009

BAL +3.5: The better team is getting the points, considering that the Pack has run up a decent record with the likes of Chicago, St. Louis, Detroit, Tampa Bay and Cleveland....not exactly a great resume. Against winning teams, they're only 1-3. The Ravens are in the thick of the wildcard hunt. The last few games, the Raven D has showed signs of their old self from a year ago: Score Ravens 21-Packers 18 (3 units). LOSER

WEEK 13 ADDED GAMES - DEC. 5, 2009

NYG +1: weather will be cold and breezy in the meadowlands. We all know Romo's starts in December. The weather means the running game will be emphasized. The Hog indexes on both sides of the ball point to g-men dominance in the trenches. Score: Giants 21-Cowboys 18 (2 units). **WINNER**

STL/CHI Under 41: chicago's average offense and the Rams mediocre offense spells Under all the way. In addition, both team's redzone efficiencies are near the bottom in the league (29 & 21 respectively, you can figure out which one is which.) (2 units) **WINNER**

TB/CAR Under 40: neither has a big time offense and are ranked on the low end of the league. (2 units)**WINNER**

NE -4.5: 3.5 no longer available, mostly at 4.5 for those looking to lay the points. I should've pulled the trigger earlier at 3.5, but oh well, i'll still lay the points with Brady and Moss to cover. Score: Patriots 28-Dolphins 21 (2 units) **GAMEDAY SCRATCH** reports of a finger injury on Brady, take this one off the boards if you haven't already pulled the trigger.

Leans
OAK +15.5: the Raiders can't be taken seriously by the Steelers, so that makes the bushel of points very tempting W
ARI +3.5: Warner at home could stop the over-rated Vikings W
Should've pulled the trigger on these two, but couldn't bring myself to bet for the Raiders or against the Vikings....

Here's my 6-teamer Parlay:
ten +6.5 L
buc +6.5 L
ne -6.5 **SCRATCH**--NO play
gb -3.5
nyg +2.5 L
sf +.5 L

WEEK 13- NFL PICKS DEC. 4 &6, 2009

YTD: 74-66 (-11.3 units)

DEN -4: Broncos are still playing for a playoff spot. The Chiefs can't even snap the long ball right. Score: Broncos 33-Chiefs 18 (5 units) **WINNER**

CIN -13: the rap on Cincy is that they play down to their competition. They do read the papers and are now at home. I see this as a statement game for the better team. I smell a blow-out of epic proportions. Score: Bengals 28-Lions 10 (4 units). LOSER

SF +1: the re-focused Niners are now playing the spread offense and have tossed the conservative "run-only" approach. The result is playing into the strength of Alex Smith and emphasizing the receiver weapons of Crabtree, Davis and Morgan. The Seahawks are already looking to next year. Score: Forty-niners 28-Seahawks 18 (3 units). LOSER

NO -7.5: the Saints are clearly the dominant team, and if the line reaches 9 or ten, i might have to go with the Skins. My only concern is Brees and company not taking this game seriously, especially after their showcase this past MNF. For now: Score Saints 28-Redskins 18 (2 units) **GAMEDAY SWITCH** since the line has moved to 10, i'm switching to the Skins +10 (2 units) **WINNER**

SD -13: this play is mainly against the inept Browns, even if they are DD home dogs. While the Bolts have to travel east, i'd be insane to bet the Browns. Score: Chargers 48-Browns 9 (3 units) LOSER

NYJ -1: The Bills are 3-21 ATS after playing the FINS since 1998, including this year's loss to the Browns 6-3....a weird stat. I'm not convinced that the trend will continue, i'm just saying....who am I to argue with fate? Score: Jets 24-Bills 18 (1 unit). **WINNER**

TEN +7: the Titans are a live dog and are on a roll, they usually play the Colts tough. This could be a let down game for Indy after clinching a playoff berth. You might want to consider a ML bet for this one: Titans 24-Colts 21 (2 units) LOSER

STL +9: the Bears are not dominant enough to be laying 9 points, even if it is vs. the lowly lambs. This play is mostly against the Bears rather than for the St. Louis. Score: Rams 28-Bears 21 (1 unit). **WINNER**

TB +6.5: Carolina has not been consistent enough to lay this many points, especially when Delhomme is back to his INT mode. Score: Panthers 21-Buccaneers 24 (2 units). LOSER

Leans
ATL +9: W
MIA +6.5 W
NYG +1.5 W

ps. i like Oregon State +10 and Washington +7 as live dogs Saturday.... i'm just sayin ***2 WINNERS***