User-agent: * Allow: / User-agent: Googlebot Allow: / Subscribe with Bloglines Gods, Barbarians, Wars & NFL Weekly Predictions: November 2011

Friday, November 25, 2011

WEEK 12 NFL PARLAY

PARLAY - 3 teamer
oak/chi UNDER 41.5
Hou/Jac UNDER 37
Cle/Cin UNDER 37.5
new/used/rookie QBs spell a whole lot of runnin and not a whole lot scoring...i'm just saying.  The starting QBs are all gone but not forgotton.

WEEK 12 PICKS NOVEMBER 27, 2011 NFL PICKS

WEEK 12 PICKS NOVEMBER 27, 2011 NFL PICKS
YTD: NFL 38-36-2 (-6U)

PIT -10.5 (1u) - Yeah a big number, but with the rested and healthier-off-the-bye Steelers D vs Tyler Palko and the hapless Chiefs, not to mention a surging Ben Roethlisberger coming off a bye, i'm smelling a blow-out of epic proportions...well covering the spread anyway. SCORE: Chiefs 14 - Steelers 35.

CAR -3.5 (1u) - Carolina can score and the Colts can’t stop anyone from scoring. Altho this is the Colts’ best chance at a win so far, they won't be able to stop Newton. SCORE: Panthers 33 - Colts 17

HOU -3.5 (1.5u) - Houston coming off of a bye, giving a very good defense extra time to prepare for an extremely weak offense. Altho Shaub's out, i'm looking for the veteran Leinart to pick the Jag D apart. SCORE: Texans 21 - Jaguars 9

NYJ -9 (1.5u) - With RB Fred Jackson out, the Bills are dead in the water. Sanchez's rift with the coach with backup taking extra reps this weak, should be incentive enough for a sanchez-bounce back game, at least that's my bet. SCORE: Bills 9 - Jets 24.

CIN -9 (.5u) - Cincy needs the win to keep pace in the AFC north. Andy Dalton looks like he belongs in the league while the Browns anemic offense has made them a good "Under" bet. SCORE Browns 9 - Bengals 21.

ATL -9.5 (1u) - Adrian Peterson is out going against the 4th ranked running def. in Atlanta and with the Falcon's well-known home edge, i'll lay the points here...fading the rookie QB and siding with the prolific Falcon QB. What concerns me is the Viking pass rush. Going all-in with the Falcons for my tournament life again. SCORE: Vikings 17 - Falcons 35.

SF +3.5 (1u) LOSS
DET +7 (1u) LOSS
MIA/DAL UNDER (1.5u) **WINNER**

NCAAF Saturday November 26, 2011 picks

NCAAF YTD: 48-48-0 (+3.69u) - all half unit bets:
Stanford -6.5
So Carolina -4
Nevada+1
Boise St -31.5
Maryland +11.5
Texas Tech +12.5
Hawaii -16.5

Thursday, November 24, 2011

WEEK 12 Leans

SEA-3.5
NE -3
**HOU -4**
**NYJ**
**PIT**
CHI +4.5
SD -6
**hou/jac under 37.5**
**cle/cin under 37.5**
CHI/OAK under 41.5
ARI/STL under ??

The following are the only 5 I've pulled the trigger on so far, i'm liking the above games too....i'll pick at least 3 more by Saturday.
SF +3.5 (1u)
DET +7 (1u)
MIA/DAL UNDER (1.5u)

ATL -9.5 (1u) - Adrian Peterson is out going against the 4th ranked running def. in Atlanta and with the Falcon's well-known home edge, i'll lay the points here...fading the rookie QB and siding with the prolific Falcon QB.  What concerns me is the Viking pass rush. Going all-in with the Falcons for my tournament life again.  SCORE: Vikings 17 - Falcons 35.

CAR -3.5 (1u) - Carolina can score and the Colts can’t stop anyone from scoring. Altho this is the Colts’ best chance at a win so far, they won't be able to stop Newton.  SCORE: Panthers 33 - Colts 17

Saturday, November 19, 2011

LEROY's PRO CHALLENGE CONTEST PICKS -Week 11

ITSNOTMEITSU 4-1-0/LAST WEEK 30-20/OVERALL 30.0TOTAL PTS

Final Picks for Week 11
CHI -3.5 **WINNER**
DAL -7.5 LOSS
JAC/CLE UNDER 34.5 **WINNER**
GB -14.5 LOSS
SF -9.5 **WINNER**

Friday, November 18, 2011

NCAAF Picks for NOVEMBER 19, 2011

NCAAF YTD: 46-43-0 (+3.47u) - all half unit bets except where noted:
USC +14.5 **WINNER**
Houston -19.5 (2.5units) **WINNER**
Navy -6 LOSS
Utah -3.5 LOSS
Maryland +10 LOSS
Stanford -17.5 LOSS
Arizona St -10 LOSS
(NCAAF YTD: 48-48-0 (+3.69U)

Saturday, November 12, 2011

WEEK 10 NFL PICKS - SUNDAY-MONDAY, NOV. 13/14, 2011

NFL 32-33-2 (-6.1U)

STL/CLE UNDER 37 (.5u) - I'm leanin Browns, but the best play may be the UNDER. This game reminds me of the Seahawk - Browns game, another low scoring affair.

SF -3.5 (1u) - Will there be a let-down by the Niners after their great road-run? Its probably not a huge value play one way or the other. Stronger need to win on the giants, the g-men have a good road record too, the niners may be the better team as shown in the line, i'm not sure there will be a let down by sf. Have the niners over-performed? hmmm, i'm bettin they're the real deal. Score: Giants 14 - Forty-Niners 33.

The G-men could very well win. Their road record is something like 14-6 ATS, that's got to be respected. I just think the Niner Defense/special teams will continue to carry this team. For example 10 of their last 46 drives started in enemy territory. Their other stat i like is their turnover, one of the lowest in the NFL (7). As long as A.Smith continues to protect the ball, i'll lay some money on SF, maybe not as much as by good buddy the Vue. Oh, my other concern is Gores ankle, he's been nursing it all week... GL

ARI +14 (1u) - The 3-5 dream team is not a doudle-digit winner, now that the line has reached the magic number of 14, i'll take the points. Also thee Kolb backup is not that much of a downgrade on Winenunt's team. Score: Eagles 21-Cardinals 14.

TB +3.5 (.5u) - tons of dog value, a must win for Tampa with Green Bay on deck, a win over Houston is a must. 3 of the Texans' wins are counterfeit (Cle, Jac, & maybe Titans). They're a live dog. Score: Texans 17 - Buccaneers 24.

NYJ +1 (1u) - i may wait till sunday to pull the trigger to see if the public pushes the line to 3. Score: Patriots 24 - Jets 27,

SEA +6.5 (1u) - situational play, Balti plays up or down to the level of their competition, the 12th man in seattle, let down game for the ravens as well as a sandwich game, they're .500 team on the road, cross country...they shot their load in Pittsburg...how do they get up to play the lowly Seahawks? Score: Raven 18-Seawawks 21.

MIN +13 (1u) - How did the Vikes earn almost 2 TDs in 3 weeks, oh, it’s the HA that gave them 3 extra points. The last line was 10 and MINNY covered sneaking thru the backdoor. I'm predicting another backdoor ATS win. Score: Vikings 21-Packers 33

ATL -1 (1.5u) - The Saints cant stop the run, dead last against it. Michael Turner should pick up where he left off last week. The Falcons appear to be surging while the Saints New Orleans have dropped their last 2 road games and failed to cover three in a row away from home. With Tracy Porter questionable, i'll be fading New Orleans. Score: Saints 24 - Falcons 34.

KC -3.5 (1u)

chi -2.5 (1u)

Leroy's Pro Challenge Week 10 Picks

Pit -3.5
Buf +5.5
MIN +13.5
STL +2.5
JAC -3.5
SEA +6.5 (went to the kiosk and scratched Buf and added Sea)

Thursday, November 10, 2011

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 12, 2011 NCAAF PICKS

NCAAF YTD: 43-39-0 (+5.16u) - all half unit bets:
Kentucky +13.5
Idaho +21
Boise State -15
Penn State +3.5
Oklahoma St
Wisconsin -27
UL-Lafayette +11

Saturday, November 5, 2011

good luck