FRI-SAT-SUN NOVEMBER 29-31 SPORTS PICKS

NCAAF 24-18-1 (+2.7u)
Toledo -7
Pittsburgh +2.5
Utah -15
Missouri -5
Colorado St -15.5
BYU -14.5

NFL 32-38-0 (-4.85u)
BUF -3 -Buffalo may be losing some of its HFA in Toronto, but that doesn't help the injury-plagued Falcons. Coming off a bye, the Bills have a league-tied sack defense of 37 sacks. SCORE: Falcons 24-Bills 30

ARI +3 - the under-rated Cardinals have won 7 of its last 10 games. Philadelphia gives up the second-most yards in
the NFL. The Arizona defence along with the resurging offense under Palmer should give the Cards the win. SCORE: Eagles 21-Cardinals 24"

KC +5.5- The Chiefs have the loudest outdoor venue in the AFC and the weather could be a factor. Peyton is well known for not being effective in weather below 32 degrees. SCORE: Broncos 21 - Chiefs 24

sea -5.5 Wilson has never lost at home, he now has Percy Harvin back as well as his OL starters. SCORE: New Orleans 21-Seahawks 31

CAR -7.5- the streaking Panthers are 6-1 ATS and now face a Tampa Bay defense minus Darrelle Revis and MLB Mason Foster. SCORE: Buccaneers 10-Panthers 24.

SF -8 -Crabtree may be rusty but does add to Kap's arsenal with Boldin/Davis. The read option should be in full swing. SCORE: RAMS 14 - Forty-Niners 31

NBA 2-2-0 (-.05u)

NCAAB 0-2-0 (-1U)

NHL 9-5-0 (+3.4u)

11/28/2013 sports picks

NCAAB 0-1-0 (-.5U)St. Joseph's +2.5

NHL 9-4-0 (+3.9u)Nashville Predators -133 (1.5units)

NCAAF 24-18-1 (+2.7u) Toledo -7
Utah -15
Pitt +3
Missouri ?? I'll wait til Friday or Sat morning to pull the trigger on this one
All half unit bets unless otherwise noted.

PAGE TWO LMM NCAA

NCAA LMM

week 13 NFL picks from tpking's LMM

Pleaser

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 23, 2013 SPORTS PICKS

NCAAF 24-18-1 (+2.7u) 
TEN -3
MICH St. -6.5
DUKE -6.5
HOUston -2.5
UCLA +2.5

NFL 28-35-0 (-5.2u)
BAL -3.5 - Jets are 1-4 ATS on the Road giving up an average 33 pts per game, the only win against the injured Falcon teamSCORE Jets 17 - Ravens 30
ARI -3 - Cardinal's headcoach was Luck's offensive coordinator last year and should be able to gameplan his tendencies. The Cards are streaking, or at least 3 straight, hopefully catching the Colts in a look-ahead spot with the Titans on deck that will settle the AFC South.SCORE Colts 21 - Cardinals 27
PIT +1 - an anti-Brown bet, assuming that Cleveland will carry on its perenial losing ways to the Steelers. The Steelers are on a small upswing averaging 30.3 PPG the last 3 games, with the Bills and Lions getting beat by double digits, I see the Brownies in the same mold. SCORE: Steelers 24 - Browns 18.
STL -1 - The Bears are only averaging 20 PPG under QB McCown. Meanwhile the Rams held Wilson's Seahawks to 14 pts and Luck's Colts to 8 pts. The injury plagued Bears should give the Rams the win. SCORE: Bears 14 - RAMs 28.
NYG -1 - the lousy road ATS record of Dallas faces a slightly resurgent Giants team riding a 4 game winning streak. SCORE: Cowboys 21 - Giants 24
CAR -4.5 - the dominant team is only laying 4.5 pts when it should be somewhere in the neighborhood of 7 IMHO esp. with a defense that held opponents to only 12.8 PPG. With the distractions surrounding the Fins, I'm gladly laying the 4.5. SCORE: Panthers 24 - Dolphins 15.

NCAAB 0-1-0 (-.5U)
Samford +15

NHL 8-4-0 (+3.5u)
NY Rangers - Nashville Predators UNDER 5

NBA 2-2-0 (-.05u)

nfl LMM ytd SUMMARY

ncaaf LMM summary ytd

revised tpking's LMM for NCAAF

WEEK 12 NFL tpking's Legendary Math Model (LMM)

NCAA tpking's LMM

dang it, cost me a ML bet.

I'm auctioning THORs #120 and #121 on ebay, check it out: http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=321252268432

Added Games

added games:
NHL 8-3-0 (+4u)
2411 Chicago Blackhawks -1.5 +165

NFL 27-34-0 (-5.1u)
122 KC +8.5
86 TB +1.5
134 GB +4.5

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 16, 2013 SPORTS PICKS

NCAAF 21-15-1 (+2.86u) 
333 No Carolina pk
320 Wisconsin -32
383 Stanford -14
388 So. Florida -8
392 Kansas St. -11
378 Illinois +32

NCAAB 0-1-0 (-.5U)

NHL 8-3-0 (+4u)

NBA 2-1-0 (+.45u)
NY Knicks -4

NFL 27-34-0 (-5.1u)

changing lines

San Diego St. moves up into the "play" range:
tpking's LEGENDARY MATH MODEL (LMM) as sorted by GoBlueAlum and posted by yours truly:

tpking: "if the model has a team wining outright with a delta of six or more, those plays are stonger than a garlic milkshake."

injuries and the LMM

NFL WEEK 11 LMM

tpking's Legendary Math Model (LMM) as sorted by GoBlueAlum and posted by yours truly

NCAAF week 12

tpking's LEGENDARY MATH MODEL (LMM) as sorted by GoBlueAlum and posted by yours truly:

NCAAF WEEK 12 PICKS

WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 13 SPORTS PICKS

NBA
Brooklyn Nets -4 (.5u)

TUESDAY SPORTS PICKS 11/12/13

NHL 7-3-0 (+2.96u)
Washington Capitals -149 (1.5units)

NBA 1-0-0 (+.45u)
Dallas Mavericks -5.5 (.5u)

NCAAF 21-15-1 (+2.86u)

NFL 27-34-0 (-5.1u)

For sale on e-bay by Its Not Me Its U

http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=321245993465

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 9, 2013 SPORTS PICKS

NHL 6-3-0 (+1.96u)
Phoenix Coyotes -143 (1.5u)

NBA 0-0-0
PHI +8

NCAAF
Washington -28
LSU +13
Virginia Tech +5

NFL 25-31-0 (-4.5u)
HOU +3 - betting flat week-off-the-bye angle. SCORE: Texans 21 - Cardinals 20
IND -10 - betting the QBR differential. SCORE: Rams 14 - Colts 31
SF -6.5 - betting the home read-option team. SCORE: Forty-niners 27 - Panthers 14
OAK +9.5 -my line has it -4.5 for the g-men. SCORE: Raiders 17 - Giants 20
BAL +1.5 - face a Bengals team that just lost their best defensive lineman, Geno Atkins, for the season and missing their starting MLB Rey Maualuga not to mention Leon Hall, their best cornerback. SCORE: Bengals 21 -Ravens 27

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 9, 2013 SPORTS PICKS

NHL 6-3-0 (+1.96u)
Phoenix Coyotes -143 (1.5u)

NBA 0-0-0
PHI +8

NCAAF
Washington -28
LSU +13
Virginia Tech +5

NFL 25-31-0 (-4.5u)
HOU +3 - betting flat week-off-the-bye angle. SCORE: Texans 21 - Cardinals 20
IND -10 - betting the QBR differential. SCORE: Rams 14 - Colts 31
SF -6.5 - betting the home read-option team. SCORE: Forty-niners 27 - Panthers 14
OAK +9.5 -my line has it -4.5 for the g-men. SCORE: Raiders 17 - Giants 20
BAL +1.5 - face a Bengals team that just lost their best defensive lineman, Geno Atkins, for the season and missing their starting MLB Rey Maualuga not to mention Leon Hall, their best cornerback. SCORE: Bengals 21 -Ravens 27

UPDATE PICKS WITH UPDATED LINES

week 11 ncaaf

WEEK 10 NFL

ncaaf week 11

Leaderboard... ItsNotMeItsU is on here

week 9 Sports Picks

NE -6 (.5u) - my spread is about 8.2, as long as the line stays under 7, I'm bettin the Patriots. SCORE: Steelers 13-Patriots 24

NYJ -6.5 (.5u) - The saints will win but won't cover. SCORE: Jets 27 - Saints 30

BAL -2.5 (.5u) - currently the old browns have an 11-game winning streak over the current Browns, covering 8 of the 11. SCORE: Ravens 24 - Browns 17

IND -2.5 (.5u) - Luck holds a big QB edge over Houston’s —who lacks Luck’s arm strength, mobility, and experience. Indy’s Mathis leads the NFL with 11½ sacks going into last week. That spells trouble for Houston. My only concern is the fishy line. SCORE: Colts 30 - Texans 21

DAL -9.5 (.5u) - i also like the QB differential in this game. I'm sensing a blowout of epic proportions, but i'll settle for a cover SCORE: Vikings 18 - Cowboys 35

MIA +2.5 [Atlantis]
There's a better line at Coasts, but since i'm placing the bet here in Reno, i'll use the Atlantis line. The Fins moved the ball at-will vs. the Pats last week, only bad play calling did it in for them. The Bungles have been on the road 4 times the last 6 weeks. I'm bucking the ATS trend for Thursday nites where favs have gone 4-1 ATS. Using the blogguy's Power Ratings ( http://statintelligence.blogspot.com/ ) of 80 for Cincy and 78 for the Fins, with an added 3.6 for HFA ( http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?s=nfl2013 ), that points to an outright win by Miami. SCORE: Bengals 17-Dolphins 21 **WINNER**

week 9 Sports Picks

NE -6 (.5u) - my spread is about 8.2, as long as the line stays under 7, I'm bettin the Patriots. SCORE: Steelers 13-Patriots 24

NYJ -6.5 (.5u) - The saints will win but won't cover. SCORE: Jets 27 - Saints 30

BAL -2.5 (.5u) - currently the old browns have an 11-game winning streak over the current Browns, covering 8 of the 11. SCORE: Ravens 24 - Browns 17

IND -2.5 (.5u) - Luck holds a big QB edge over Houston’s —who lacks Luck’s arm strength, mobility, and experience. Indy’s Mathis leads the NFL with 11½ sacks going into last week. That spells trouble for Houston. My only concern is the fishy line. SCORE: Colts 30 - Texans 21

DAL -9.5 (.5u) - i also like the QB differential in this game. I'm sensing a blowout of epic proportions, but i'll settle for a cover SCORE: Vikings 18 - Cowboys 35

MIA +2.5 [Atlantis]
There's a better line at Coasts, but since i'm placing the bet here in Reno, i'll use the Atlantis line. The Fins moved the ball at-will vs. the Pats last week, only bad play calling did it in for them. The Bungles have been on the road 4 times the last 6 weeks. I'm bucking the ATS trend for Thursday nites where favs have gone 4-1 ATS. Using the blogguy's Power Ratings ( http://statintelligence.blogspot.com/ ) of 80 for Cincy and 78 for the Fins, with an added 3.6 for HFA ( http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?s=nfl2013 ), that points to an outright win by Miami. SCORE: Bengals 17-Dolphins 21 **WINNER**

NFL week 9 Picks