User-agent: * Allow: / User-agent: Googlebot Allow: / Subscribe with Bloglines Gods, Barbarians, Wars & NFL Weekly Predictions: November 2010

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

REVISED LEANS BASED ON UPDATED LINES - WEEK 13

myline
11 WAS L
9 OAK W
7 stl W
6 NYJ
6 HOU L
5 BUF L
4 sf L
4 SEA W
4 ind L
4 CLE L
3 PIT
3 ATL L
2 no L
1 det W
1 den W
1 car L

The numbers are my estimate of how far off the line or spread is. I'll probably play the top 3-5 picks, depending on the line.

NOVEMBER 30, 2010 SPORTS PICKS

NCAAB ytd: 12-3-0 (+8.8units)
Portland -4 (.5units) **WINNER**

NHL ytd: 12-11-1 (-.7units)
TAMPA BAY (.5units) **WINNER**

NBA ytd: 18-16-2 (-4.4u)
INDIANA PACERS -3 (.5units) **WINNER**
UTAH JAZZ ??
SAN ANTONIO -4.5 (.5units) **WINNER**

NCAFB ytd: 21-26-0

NFL 60-60-3 (-15u)

Monday, November 29, 2010

WEEK 13 LEANS

Here's my leans for Week 16 based on how far off from the opening lines they are from my projected line.  The number indicates the number of units each game is off, per my projection.I may add or drop some of them, but will most likely play the top 5 or 6.  I need to evaluate the injuries, and other 'angles' before pulling the trigger.  I'm not sure which lines need to be bet early or later to get a better number.

myline
16 WAS
10 PIT
10 CLE
6 BUF
5 NYJ
5 HOU
5 CIN
4 SEA
4 ATL
2 CHI
0 KC

Sunday, November 28, 2010

ADDED GAME

ADDED GAME

NCAAB
San Jose St. -14 (2units)

WEEK 12, SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 28

WEEK 12, SUNDAY, NOVEMBER
NFL 55-55-3 (-13.9u)
sf/ari under 40 (.5units)
gb/atl over 47.5 (.5units) LOSS
nyj/cin OVER 43.5 (.5units) LOSS
TB/BAL UNDER 41 - anti-streak play (1unit)

JAC +7 - anti-streak play. (1unit) **WINNER**

pit -6 (1units)- LOSS
seems like a trap, the obvous play is Pittsburgh, but the line hasn't moved even with all the public support. I haven't pulled the trigger yet and may reduce the units or even switch to BUF prior to gametime. After some thought, they ARE the bills, so i'll stick with the better team, hopefully not in a let down mode.

stl +4 (1unit) - myline has the Rams winning by 6, the Ram D is twice as good as Denver's. Score: Broncos 14-Rams 17

no -3.5 (2units) LOSS

GB +2.5 (3units) - LOSS
Rodgers getting points? I'll grab it, even tho the dome in Atlanta has been good for the home team, Score: Packers 24-Falcons 21

SD +3 (3units) : the Bolts own the colts, at least for the last 5 years 4-1 ATS. Could it be Manning's perrenial debacling by 3-4 defenses (twice as many sacks, lower pass completion percentage and lower passing rating in general.)? I don't know, but i'll side with the hot Rivers. Score: Colts 21-Chargers 35

NHL ytd: 12-10-1 (+.31units)
Columbus +165 (.5units)
Carolina/Washington OVER 6 (.5units)

NCAFB ytd: 21-26-0

NCAAB ytd: 12-2-0 (+10.8units)

NBA ytd: 18-16-2 (-4.4u)

Saturday, November 27, 2010

3 PARLAYS FOR THE FUN OF IT

PIT -6.5 -110
TB +7.5 -110
PHI -3.5 +105
GB +2.5 -110
STL +4 -110
SD +3 -125
$50 to win $2,400

CLE -9.5 -110
GB +2.5 -110
STL +4 -110
SD +3 -125
$50 to win $576

GB +2.5 -110
STL +4 -110
SD +3 -125
GB UNDER -110
SF UNDER -110
 $50 to win $1,146

ADDED GAMES Nov 27, 2010

ADDED GAMES

NCAFB
Arkansas -3.5 **WINNER**
Middle Tennessee St. -5.5 **WINNER**

NCABB
St. Mary's +1.5 (2units) **WINNER**

SATURDAY NOV. 27, 2010 SPORTS PICKS

NCAFB ytd: 18-23-0
CENTRAL FL -25.5 LOSS
N.C.STATE -2.5 LOSS
SAN DIEGO STATE -23.5 **WINNER**
Louisiana Tech -12 LOSS

NCAAB ytd: 11-2-0 (+8.99units)

NBA ytd: 18-15-2 (-3.4u)
Miami Heat +2.5 (1unit) LOSS

NHL ytd: 11-10-1 (-.6units)
NY Rangers +111 (1unit) **WINNER**

NFL 55-55-3 (-13.9u)
sf/ari under 40 (.5units)
gb/atl over 47.5 (.5units)
nyj/cin OVER 43.5 (.5units) LOSS

pit -6 (1units)- seems like a trap, the obvous play is Pittsburgh, but the line hasn't moved even with all the public support. I haven't pulled the trigger yet and may reduce the units or even switch to BUF prior to gametime.

stl +4 (1unit) - myline has the Rams winning by 6, the Ram D is twice as good as Denver's. Score: Broncos 14-Rams 17

no -3.5 (2units) LOSS

GB +2.5 (3units) - Rodgers getting points? I'll grab it, even tho the dome in Atlanta has been good for the home team, Score: Packers 24-Falcons 21

SD +3 (3units) : the Bolts own the colts, at least for the last 5 years 4-1 ATS. Could it be Manning's perrenial debacling by 3-4 defenses (twice as many sacks, lower pass completion percentage and lower passing rating in general.)? I don't know, but i'll side with the hot Rivers. Score: Colts 21-Chargers 35

Friday, November 26, 2010

FRIDAY NOVEMBER 26, 2010 - SPORTS PICKS

FRIDAY NOVEMBER 26, 2010 SPORTS PICKS

NCAFB ytd: 17-20-0

BOWLING GREEN +7 LOSS
Pittsburgh -2.5 LOSS
Boise St. -13.5 - LOSS
my team will be exposed on national TV, esp. our lack of defense. Boise has both, i smell a route of epic proportions.
*BOISE/Nev UNDER 68.5* **WINNER**

NCAAB ytd: 9-2-0 (+7.17units)
St. Mary's -4 (1unit) **WINNER**
Siena +4 (1unit) **WINNER**

NBA ytd: 15-14-2 (-4.7u)
Milwaukee Bucks +1 (1unit) LOSS
Philadelphia +11 (1unit) **WINNER**
Oklahoma City +1.5 (.5unit) **WINNER**
Utah +1.5 (1unit) **WINNER**

NHL ytd: 11-7-1 (+.72units)
New Jersey -115 (.5units) - LOSS
Nashville/Minnesota UNDER 5 (.5units) LOSS
Tampa Bay/Washington OVER 6.5 (.5units) LOSS

NFL 55-55-3 (-13.9u)
sf/ari under 40 (.5units)
gb/atl over 47.5 (.5units)
nyj/cin OVER 43.5 (.5units) LOSS

pit -6 (1units) seems like a trap, the obvous play is Pittsburgh, but the line hasn't moved even with all the public support. I haven't pulled the trigger yet and may reduce the units or even switch to BUF prior to gametime.

stl +4 (1unit) myline has the Rams winning by 6, the Ram D is twice as good as Denver's. Score: Broncos 14-Rams 17

no -3.5 (2units) LOSS

GB +1 (3units) Rodgers getting points? I'll grab it, even tho the dome in Atlanta has been good for the home team, Score: Packers 24-Falcons 21

SD +3 (3units) : the Bolts own the colts, at least for the last 5 years 4-1 ATS. Could it be Manning's perrenial debacling by 3-4 defenses (twice as many sacks, lower pass completion percentage and lower passing rating in general.)? I don't know, but i'll side with the hot Rivers. Score: Colts 21-Chargers 35

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

WEEK 12 NFL PICKS

NFL 55-55-3 (-13.9u)
sf/ari under 40 (.5units)
gb/atl over 47.5 (.5units)
nyj/cin OVER 43.5 (.5units)

kc -1 (4units) -SCRATCH
stl +4 (1unit)
tb +9 (1unit) -SCRATCH
no -3.5 (2units)
jac +7 (1unit) -SCRATCH
GB +1 (3units)


SD +3 (3units) : the Bolts own the colts, at least for the last 5 years 4-1 ATS. Could it be Manning's perrenial debacling by 3-4 defenses (twice as many sacks, lower pass completion percentage and lower passing rating in general.)?  I don't know, but i'll side with the hot Rivers.  Score: Colts 21-Chargers 35

Saturday, November 20, 2010

SUNDAY NOVEMBER 21, 2010 SPORTS PICKS

NOVEMBER 21, 2010 SPORTS PICKS

NFL 48-50-3 (-16.96u)
ind/ne OVER 50.5 (2units) **WINNER**
den/sd OVER 49.5 (.5units) LOSS
det/dal over 46.5 (.5units) **WINNER**

det +7.5 (2units) - LOSS
riding the ATS train till the wheels fall off

oak +9 (1unit) -LOSS
banged up steelers vs. a different raider team than last yr

sf -3.5 (2units) - LOSS
Buccs poor west coast record vs. rejuvenated Troy smith offense

**GAMEDAY SWITCH** sea +11.5 (1unit) - saints are 2-9 ATS as double digit favs under sean payton. The Saints should win by double digits, the Hawks dismal road record coming from the worst division in the league. NO -11.5 (1unit): Score: Seahawks 14-Saints 28. **WINNER**

hou +7 (1unit) **WINNER**
- jets have nearly double penalty yards than texans: 383 to 647

**game day switch**den +10 (2units)-Bolts should win AND cover, SEE BELOW

BAL -10.5 (1unit):**WINNER**
7 of 8 Carolina losses have come by double digits. Even tho Baltimore is not the defensive juggernaut as in the past, it’s hard to see the Panthers mounting much of an offensive threat. Score: Ravens 21-Panthers 6

TEN -7.5 (1unit): LOSS
the Skins are 0-2 vs. AFC South. Score: Redskins 18-Titans 28

GB -3.5 (3units):**WINNER**
the 41 year old gunslinger vs. the Pack coming off a bye. I smell a blowout of epic proportions. Score: Packers 33-Vikings 21.

SD -10.5 (3units); **WINNER**
The bolts with the better D should dominate this game. While the Broncos offense has been better of late, their defense ranks near the bottom. A division rivalry, the bolts have been hearing about Denver's 49-pt output all week. Have you ever seen a team win by 20 one week and pegged as a dog the next week? Must be some kind of record. The better team should easily cover. Score: Broncos 15-Chargers 35
7-5-0

NBA ytd: 15-12-2 (-3.7u)
New Orleans -5.5 (.5units) LOSS
Golden State +12 (.5units) LOSS

NCAAB ytd: 8-2-0 (+6.26units)
Old Dominion +1.5 (1unit) **WINNER**

NHL ytd: 10-7 (+.27units)
EDM/ANA OVER 6 (.5units) PUSH
PHX/VAN UNDER 5.5 (.5units) **WINNER**

NCAFB ytd: 17-20-0

NOVEMBER 20, 2010 SPORTS PICKS

NCAFB 13-18-0
Ohio St -3 (1unit) **WINNER**
San Diego St. (1unit) LOSS
No Illinois -14.5 (1unit) **WINNER**
Vanderbilt +8.5 (1unit) LOSS
Navy -12 (1unit) **WINNER**
Stanford -6.5 (2units) **WINNER**

NCAAB 6-2-0 (+4.44units)
California +2 (1unit) **WINNER**
Butler -13 (1unit) **WINNER**

NBA 14-12-2 (-4.58u)
New York +1.5 (1unit) **WINNER**

NHL 9-5 (+.82units)
Phi/Was OVER 6 (.5units) **WINNER**
NY Rangers/Minn UNDEr 5 (.5units) LOSS
LA/BOS UNDER 5 (.5units) LOSS

Thursday, November 18, 2010

FRIDAY NOVEMBER 19, 2010 SPORTS PICKS

NBA 14.11-2 (-3.58u)
Milwaukee -3.5 (1unit) LOSS

NCAAB 4-0-0 (+4.54units)
Portland St +7 (.5units) LOSS
Penn St -8.5 (.5units) **WINNER**
La-Lafayette +2.5 (.5units) LOSS
Appalachian St +9 (.5units) **WINNER**

NHL 8-4-1 (+.91units)
Phoenix -123 (1unit) **WINNER**
washington/atlanta OVER 6.5 -115 (1unit) LOSS

NCAFB 13-17-0
FresnoSt/Boise OVER 66.5 LOSS

NOVEMBER 18, 2010 SPORTS PICKS

NOVEMBER 18, 2010 SPORTS PICKS
NBA 14-10-2 (-2.58u)
Los Angeles Clippers +4.5 (1unit) loss

NCAAB 2-0-0 (+3.18u)
Louisiana State -16.5 (1unit) **WINNER**
George Mason +17.5 (.5units) **WINNER**

NHL 6-4-1 (0u)
Florida/Boston UNDER 5 (.5units) **WINNER**
Nash/Montreal UNDER 5 (.5units) **WINNER**

ncafb (ytd: 12-17-0
UNLV Rebels +19 (.5units) **WINNER**

NFL 48-50-3 (-16.96u)
ind/ne OVER 50.5 (2units)
den/sd OVER 49.5 (.5units)
det/dal over 46.5 (.5units)
det +7.5 (2units) - riding the ATS train till the wheels fall off
oak +9 (1unit) - banged up steelers vs. a different raider team than last yr
sf -3.5 (2units) - Buccs poor west coast record vs. rejuvenated Troy smith offense
sea +11.5 (1unit) - saints are 2-9 ATS as double digit favs under sean payton
hou +7 (1unit) - jets have nearly double penalty yards than texans: 383 to 647
den +10 (2units)-Bolts should win but won't cover, strange to see a team that won by 20 and then a dog the next week..

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

NBA/NFL/NCAAB/NHL SPORTS PICKS NOVEMBER 17TH

NBA 13-9-2 (-2.53u)
Minnesota -4.5 (.5units) LOSER
New York +4 (.5units) **WINNER**

NFL 48-50-3 (-16.96u)
ind/ne OVER 50.5 (2units)
den/sd OVER 49.5 (.5units)
det/dal over 46.5 (.5units)
det +7.5 (2units) - riding the ATS train till the wheels fall off
oak +9 (1unit) - banged up steelers vs. a different raider team than last yr
sf -3.5 (2units) - Buccs poor west coast record vs. rejuvenated Troy smith offense
sea +11.5 (1unit) - saints are 2-9 ATS as double digit favs under sean payton
hou +7 (1unit) - jets have nearly double penalty yards than texans: 383 to 647
den +6 (2units)-Bolts should win but won't cover, strange to see a team that won by 20 and then a dog the next week..

NCAAB 1-1-1 (+1
.73u)
SAN JOSE ST -6.5 (.5units) **WINNER**

NHL 5-4-1 (-1u)
Chicago -160 (1.6units) **WINNER**

ncafb (ytd: 12-17-0

TUESDAY NOVEMBER 16TH SPORTS PICKS

TUESDAY NOVEMBER 16TH SPORTS PICKS
NBA 13-7-2 (-.53u)
Milwaukee +3.5 (1unit)
Denver -8.5 (1unit)

NFL 48-50-3 (-16.96u)
ind/ne OVER 50.5 (2units)
den/sd OVER 49.5 (.5units)
det/dal over 46.5 (.5units)
det +7.5 (2units)
oak +9 (1unit)
tb +3.5 (2units)
sea +7 (1unit)
hou +7 (1unit)
den +6 (2units)

NCAAB 1-0-0 (+2.73u)
California -17 (1unit)
Baylor -16 (1unit)

NHL 4-4-1 (-2u)
Dallas -139 (1.4units)

ncafb (ytd: 12-17-0
Temple -7.5

Monday, November 15, 2010

recap of the weekend bets

NBA 12-7-2 (-1.44u)
Phoenix +9 (1unit) **WINNER**
YTD: 13-7-2 (-.53u)

NFL 42-47-3 (-15.24u)
Cin +7 (1unit): **WINNER**
altho the Colts are the better team, I'm playing the look-ahead angle, with Patriots and surging Bolts on deck for Indy. Score: Bengals 21-Colts 24.

TEN -1.5 (3units): **GAMEDAY SWITCH** ---MIA -1: (2UNITS) **WINNER**
I may reduce or scratch this play, since Young may not play, but that will be a gametime decision. **edit**:Collins will most likely play and the line's now MIA -1. Score: Titans 17-Dolphins 20.

Chi +1 (1unit): **WINNER**
the Bears have a slightly better D, the penalty yards favor the Bears (440/347), Score: Bears 24-Vikings 21

DET +2.5 (1unit): **WINNER**
still riding the ATS covering machine. Score: Lions 33-Bills 21

CLE +3 (2units): LOSER
the public is pounding the Jets, The penalty yard ratio favors the Browns (386 vs. 557) and their D's aren't that far apart. I'll take the points. Score: Jets 16-Browns 24.

TB -7 (1unit): **WINNER**
feels really like a square bet going against the worst team in the league. Score: Panthers 12-Buccaneers 24

KC -1 (3units): LOSER
more of a play against the Broncos. KC is the better team, Denver will have more turnovers in the mile high city. Score: Chiefs 24-Broncos 17.

NYG -12 (*4units*): LOSER
can Kitna handle the cold new york weather, especially after the team has tanked it for the season? I'm gambling not. Score: Cowboys 10-Giants 28.

NE +4.5 (2units): **WINNER**
After a loss of 10 or more, New England is 10-3 ATS since 2003. While the Steelers have the better D, I'm gambling Brady and Belichick will pile on the points. Score: Patriots 27-Steelers 21.
6-3-0 (-1.72u)
ytd: 48-50-3 (-16.96u)

NCAAB 1-0-0 (+2.73u)

NHL 4-4-1 (-2u)

ncafb (ytd: 12-17-0

Sunday, November 14, 2010

NBA nov 14th pick

NBA 12-7-2 (-1.44u)
Phoenix +9 (1unit)

Saturday, November 13, 2010

sports picks NOVEMBER 13, 2010

NBA 10-6-2 (-.34u)
Milwaukee -7.5 (2units) loser
Toronto +15 (.5units) **WINNER**
Washington +10.5 (.5units) **WINNER**
2-1-0 (-1.1u)

NCAAB 0-0-0
Geo Mason -7.5 (3units) **WINNER**
1-0-0 (+2.73u)

NHL 3-4-0 (-1u)
Washington -135 (1unit) LOSS
Pit/ATL OVER 6 (.5units) PUSH
1-0-1 (-1u)

NFL 42-47-3 (-15.24u)
Cin +7 (1unit): altho the Colts are the better team, I'm playing the look-ahead angle, with Patriots and surging Bolts on deck for Indy. Score: Bengals 21-Colts 24.

TEN -1.5 (3units): **GAMEDAY SWITCH** ---MIA -1: (2UNITS)I may reduce or scratch this play, since Young may not play, but that will be a gametime decision. **edit**:Collins will most likely play and the line's now MIA -1. Score: Titans 17-Dolphins 20.

Chi +1 (1unit): the Bears have a slightly better D, the penalty yards favor the Bears (440/347), Score: Bears 24-Vikings 21

DET +2.5 (1unit): still riding the ATS covering machine. Score: Lions 33-Bills 21

CLE +3 (2units): the public is pounding the Jets, The penalty yard ratio favors the Browns (386 vs. 557) and their D's aren't that far apart. I'll take the points. Score: Jets 16-Browns 24.

TB -7 (1unit): feels really like a square bet going against the worst team in the league. Score: Panthers 12-Buccaneers 24

KC -1 (3units): more of a play against the Broncos. KC is the better team, Denver will have more turnovers in the mile high city. Score: Chiefs 24-Broncos 17.

NYG -12 (4units): can Kitna handle the cold new york weather, especially after the team has tanked it for the season? I'm gambling not. Score: Cowboys 10-Giants 28.  ADDED: with line moving to -12, i kicked up the units.

NE +4.5 (2units): After a loss of 10 or more, New England is 10-3 ATS since 2003. While the Steelers have the better D, I'm gambling Brady and Belichick will pile on the points. Score: Patriots 27-Steelers 21.

Friday, November 12, 2010

saturday november 13 spoerts picks

ncafb (ytd: 8-14-0)
central fl -10.5 LOSS
purdue **WINNER**
utah state -3.5 **WINNER**
ohio state -17.5 **WINNER**
oklahoma state -5.5 **WINNER**
iowa -9.5 LOSS
ul-monroe LOSS
4-3-0
ytd: 12-17-0

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Friday, November 5, 2010

NFL WEEK 9 SPORTS PICKS

NFL
NFL
NYJ -4 (0units) *gameday switch* DET +4" i'll go with the ATS covering maching

Cowboys +7.5 (3units)
SEAHAWKS +5.5 (2units)

Patriots -4.5 (0units) *gameday switch* CLE +3.5 (2units)

Dolphins +5.5 (2units)
BUF +3 (2units)


KC Chiefs +1 (5units)- wish i got the +2.5 earlier in the week, but i like the Chiefs to win SU. The Raiders will be facing a better team on both sides of the ball than the Seahawks last week.

TB +9.5 (3units) - the line has moved up a bit and if it steams to 10, i might lay a little more, but for now i'll pull the trigger at 9.5.

IND +3 (4units): Manning getting points vs a team that he's owned in the past? Somebody wake me up. Must be the reaction to the return of their mobile QB. As an underdog in the last 3 yrs, Colts are 5-2 ATS. Against AFC South division opponents, Philly is 2-8 ATS since 93. Score: Colts 28-Eagles 21

NCAAF
ARIZONA +9.5 LOSS
FLORIDA ATL -2.5 LOSS
OREGON STATE -5.5 LOSS
SO. CALIFORNIA -5.5 LOSS
OREGON -34.5 LOSS
WASH ST. +14.5 **WINNER**
BAYLOR +7.5 LOSS
AIR FORCE -6.5 **WINNER**
2-6-0
NBA
New Jersey +16**WINNER**
NJ/ORL UNDER 195 PUSH
Cleveland +5 **WINNER**
CLE/PHI UNDER 187.5 LOSS
Milwaukee +2 **WINNER**
Washington +6 LOSS
Phoenix -5.5 LOSS
Toronto +13.5 **WINNER**
Golden State +1 **WINNER**
5-3-1